Premier League

• 2.11pm BST 14:11 GOAL! Norwich 1-0 Burnley (Lees-Melou 9)
• 1.10pm BST 13:10 Teams: Burnley
• 1.06pm BST 13:06 Teams: Norwich
• 1.00pm BST 13:00 Preamble

29 min This kit of Burnley’s is not just a pretty design – it’s raising money for the Alzheimer’s Society.

27 min Lees-Melou picks up a yellow card to go with his goal, for treading on Tarkowski’s toes.

25 min In between Pukki’s sorties, Burnley are pinning Norwich back. Cornet runs onto a through ball and shoots, too close to Krul.

23 min Pukki again, feeding Rashica, who can’t quite manage the return ball. “The Kosovan and the Finn,” says the commentator. They’re a children’s book waiting to happen, but perhaps only if they pull off the great escape.

21 min Pukki should really be an estate agent – he’s so good at finding space. Jinking around the D, he gets another shot away, but Burnley do what Burnley gotta do: they put in a block.

20 min We’ve already had eight shots and five corners. It’s as if the game has begun with the last 20 minutes.

17 min Shot! Pukki’s in acres on the right and he strokes a pinpoint shot that would go in at the far post if it were not for Pope, sticking out a boot. Shot again! Norwich stay up that end and Normann hits a swerver just over the bar.

15 min The two sets of fans, like the kits, are a study in contrasts. One lot are singing “C’mon Burnley” over and over again, while the other specialise in oohs and aahs.

13 min You know how some matches take 20 minutes to get going? This is not one of them. Now Burnley have a free kick in a dangerous area and Collins’s downward header brushes the woodwork, but he’s offside.

12 min And now Burnley have a corner. Krul is a bit shaky underneath it, but gets away with it.

“Rooting for the Canaries,” says Joe Pearson, our person in Indianapolis. “And not just because I put money on Burnley getting relegated all the way back in August. OK, maybe that is the reason.”

The corner comes out to the D... and this time Pierre Lees-Melou does pounce! His shot takes a deflection and lands in the corner.

9 min Both teams are being positive, and Burnley are now getting more of the ball, but Norwich go on the counter and win a corner.

6 min And now an attempt from Burnley! Cornet crosses to Rodriguez, who gets the header in, though it’s not powerful enough to test Krul.

4 min Shot! Again it’s Pukki finding Rashica, who cuts in from the left and hits a rasping drive, parried by Pope. Lees-Melou could have done more to pounce on the rebound.

4 min Burnley get a cross in, the first of many. Hanley heads it away.

3 min Norwich start purposefully as Pukki plays a Harry Kane ball, with Rashica in the role of Son. Pope comes out smartly to clear.

2 min Man down! It’s Kenny McLean, who went up for a header with James Tarkowski. He seems OK.

The players take the knee. Norwich are in yellow as usual, Burnley inter third kit – navy blue.

A tweet! “You appear to be journalist that doesn’t understand probability,” says Harry Palmer. “Compare the goal difference to understand why Burnley are statistically more likely to beat Norwich then City beat Liverpool.”

I wasn’t saying 538 were wrong! Just thought it was interesting.

Sean Dyche is a bit more forthcoming. Asked what he took away from the win over Everton, he says: “Going into the final third looking like an outfit that can score goals – we haven’t had that all season but we did the other night.” Has Everton’s win over Man United had an impact on his team? “No, we’ve got a pretty wise group. We can’t look at other teams’ form, that’s up to them. It’s about focusing on what we do. As it narrows down, we’ve got to get wins.”

A pretty wise group: that’s how Dyche does it.

Dean Smith is talking to Sky, but he’s not giving a great deal away. “It’s another team in the bottom three,” he says, “so we have to go out and give our fans something to cheer about.” Asked what sort of game he expects, he says Burnley will be “very competitive”.

Of the eight clubs playing today in the Premier League, which is the most likely one to win? According to 538.com, it’s Burnley! With 46 per cent, to Norwich’s 26 (draw 28). They’re just ahead of Man City with 44pc (to Liverpool’s 31). City have 23 league wins this season while Burnley have four.

The ref, in case you’ve been wondering, will be Michael Oliver.

Burnley are on what passes for a roll at the bottom of the Premier League, so they stick with a winning team – apart from Connor Roberts, whose slot at right-back goes to Matt Lowton. There’s still no room for Dwight McNeil, though I suspect he’ll soon be warming up.

Burnley (4-4-2) Pope; Lowton, Collins, Tarkowski, Taylor; Lennon, Westwood, Brownhill, Cornet; Weghorst, Rodriguez.

Subs: Hennessey, Long, Roberts, Thomas, Stephens, McNeil, Cork, Barnes, Vydra.

No Billy Gilmour for Norwich, who may be playing a midfield diamond and giving Burnley a dose of their own medicine with twin strikers.

Norwich (4-D-2?) Krul; Byram, Hanley, Gibson, Giannoulis; Normann, Dowell, Lees-Melou, McLean; Pukki, Rashica.

Subs: Gunn, Aarons, Williams, Sorensen, Tzolis, Rowe, Springett, Zimmermann, Rupp.

Afternoon everyone and welcome to the biggest game of ... the next three hours. It may not be quite City-Liverpool, but Norwich-Burnley still gets a high score on a metric that is crying out to be turned into three dimensions by the people behind Wallace & Gromit – the Squeaky Bum-o-Meter.

Burnley badly need three points to keep up with Everton, who sprang a surprise by actually winning a game yesterday. Norwich need three points even more than that: they’re going down unless they go on a glorious run right now, and although they have a winnable game next week – against Ralf Rangnick’s Also-Rans – that one is away, while this is at home.

Both these clubs have spent the past eight months collecting just four league wins. The difference between them is all in the draws: six to Norwich so far, 12 to Burnley. Dean Smith could reasonably claim that his side play the better football, but Sean Dyche has the edge on experience and pragmatism. The other night, against Everton, the football was suddenly decent too, with Maxwel Cornet finding his silver hammer.

It could be a cracker. Kick-off is at 2pm, and I’ll be back soon after 1 with the teams.