Week 16 NFL DFS: The Value Report – FantasyCruncher.com DFS Articles & Insights
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There are a lot of different ways to determine who is a value play when it comes to DFS.
You have your traditional way of basing value strictly off of salary. X player is only Y in salary thus he is a value play. I personally don’t like to determine value that way as just because a player is cheap doesn’t actually mean they are a value. Instead of using just salary to determine value, I like to use projections and salary. I look at how high a player is projected relative to his peers and his salary relative to his peers as well.
For example, Player X is the 5th highest projected wide receiver on DraftKings but is only the 15th most expensive wide receiver. That to me is a great value. Another way I like to look at value is to look at how expensive a player is relative to other sites. For instance Player G is the 4th most expensive quarterback on FanDuel and the 5th most expensive quarterback on DraftKings but is the 13th most expensive quarterback on Yahoo. That player would also stand out as a value for me on Yahoo. In this article, we will be breaking down some of the top values we have found using those two formulas on each of the three sites for each of the positions.
Note: You will see some changes in the Salary Rank and Projection rank. Though this article only pertains to the Main Slate of games the Salary Rank and Projection Rank will encompass all players for the week (Thursday-Monday). You can also sort the projection and salary ranks directly on FC now under the columns titled Position Rankings and Overall Rankings.
I am going to keep this article short and sweet today by focusing on my favorite value at each position using the salary rank to projection rank. At the quarterback position that player is Matt Ryan. Ryan is the 18th most expensive quarterback on DraftKings and 15th on FanDuel while checking in as the 8th highest projected quarterback this week.
Player DK Salary Rank FD Salary Rank Y! Salary Rank Projection Rank Patrick Mahomes 1 1 2 1 Tom Brady 5 3 5 2 Justin Herbert 5 3 2 3 Jalen Hurts 9 7 4 5 Josh Allen 3 2 2 7 Matt Ryan 18 15 11 8 Russell Wilson 11 8 6 9 Kirk Cousins 10 10 8 11 Joe Burrow 13 12 7 12 Matthew Stafford 7 5 3 13 Josh Johnson 31 22 16 14 Derek Carr 14 13 12 16 Zach Wilson 19 17 16 19 Ben Roethlisberger 17 15 10 20 Trevor Lawrence 22 18 13 21 Mac Jones 19 16 15 22 Drew Lock 21 17 16 24 Cam Newton 16 11 12 26 Davis Mills 17 17 16 27 Nick Foles 31 22 16 29 Tim Boyle 31 23 16 30 Jake Fromm 22 19 16 31 Running Back ValuesI am going to give you two running back values that jump out at me this week as one is on DraftKings the other is on FanDuel. For DraftKings, the player that jumps out at me is James Robinson. Robinson is the 18th most expensive running back on that site while being the fifth-highest projected player (highest on this slate) at the position. On FanDuel the running back that jumps out at me is Alexander Mattison. Mattison is the 30th most expensive running back on FanDuel this week while checking in as the 6th highest projected (2nd highest on this slate) player at his position.
Player DK Salary Rank FD Salary Rank Y! Salary Rank Projection Rank James Robinson 18 6 7 5 Alexander Mattison 11 30 17 6 D’Andre Swift 14 8 7 7 Cordarrelle Patterson 12 13 6 8 Najee Harris 6 5 9 9 Josh Jacobs 17 17 14 12 Joe Mixon 10 10 5 13 Ronald Jones 26 31 15 18 Miles Sanders 21 21 13 19 Saquon Barkley 13 15 14 20 Mike Davis 28 30 17 21 Justin Jackson 35 31 21 22 Darrel Williams 31 28 17 23 Javonte Williams 16 22 10 25 Brandon Bolden 35 36 18 26 David Montgomery 20 19 8 27 Tevin Coleman 29 28 22 28 Rex Burkhead 32 31 20 29 Devonta Freeman 24 29 13 30 Darrell Henderson 20 16 10 31 Melvin Gordon 19 22 12 32 Devin Singletary 26 27 17 34 Michael Carter 25 27 11 36 Damien Harris 21 19 14 37 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 19 20 16 38 Wide Receiver ValuesAntonio Brown is my top value at the wide receiver position this week though I do like him more on DraftKings than FanDuel value-wise. Brown is the 6th highest projected wide receiver this week and the 13th most expensive wideout on FanDuel and just the 33rd most expensive wideout on DraftKings this week.
Player DK Salary Rank FD Salary Rank Y! Salary Rank Projection Rank Cooper Kupp 1 1 1 2 Tyreek Hill 3 3 4 3 Justin Jefferson 5 4 3 4 Keenan Allen 6 6 6 5 Antonio Brown 33 13 10 6 Hunter Renfrow 14 12 8 7 Marquise Brown 24 19 14 9 Stefon Diggs 7 8 6 10 Diontae Johnson 8 9 10 12 DJ Moore 25 19 16 13 DK Metcalf 18 16 9 14 JaMarr Chase 11 12 5 15 Jakobi Meyers 33 26 19 16 Braxton Berrios 46 30 22 17 Tyler Lockett 15 10 6 19 Darnell Mooney 28 22 17 21 Marvin Jones 38 27 20 22 Amon-Ra St. Brown 26 18 17 25 DeVonta Smith 22 24 14 26 Russell Gage 23 16 16 29 Josh Palmer 48 34 23 30 Adam Thielen 13 11 7 31 Keelan Cole 48 33 22 32 Tee Higgins 20 18 11 33 Nico Collins 47 31 23 34 Chase Claypool 31 24 15 35 Tyler Johnson 42 33 19 37 Tyler Boyd 31 21 18 38 Laquon Treadwell 46 30 18 39 Van Jefferson 27 20 12 41 Courtland Sutton 39 29 23 42 Kenny Golladay 29 28 22 43 Kalif Raymond 42 31 20 44 Robby Anderson 33 26 20 45 Bryan Edwards 49 31 23 46 Jerry Jeudy 32 25 18 48 Olamide Zaccheaus 43 32 23 50 Tight End ValuesJared Cook is the easy choice for top tight end value this week as he is the third-highest projected player at the position and checks in as the 19th most expensive tight end on DraftKings and 15th highest on FanDuel.
Player DK Salary Rank FD Salary Rank Y! Salary Rank Projection Rank Mark Andrews 3 1 3 1 Kyle Pitts 6 9 9 2 Jared Cook 19 15 12 3 Rob Gronkowski 4 4 4 4 Hunter Henry 12 8 11 7 Dallas Goedert 10 9 6 9 Cameron Brate 29 21 16 11 Jonnu Smith 29 20 16 12 Cole Kmet 21 16 12 13 Evan Engram 20 16 11 14 Foster Moreau 18 14 16 15 Tyler Conklin 15 14 13 16 Noah Fant 13 11 8 17 James O’Shaughnessy 22 13 15 18 Dawson Knox 8 7 11 19 Gerald Everett 17 17 13 20 Tyler Higbee 16 12 8 21 Tyler Kroft 29 22 16 22 C.J. Uzomah 24 16 11 23 Jordan Akins 27 21 16 24 Pharaoh Brown 28 22 16 26 Stephen Anderson 29 23 16 28 Kyle Rudolph 27 22 13 29 Zach Gentry 26 22 16 30 Hayden Hurst 28 19 16 31 Albert Okwuegbunam 23 17 12 33 O.J. Howard 29 23 16 34 Defense ValuesJust going to leave the defensive value chart below as this position is becoming even more of a crap shoot then in years past.
Player DK Salary Rank FD Salary Rank Y! Salary Rank Projection Rank Buccaneers 1 4 2 3 Eagles 2 1 6 4 Chiefs 3 6 4 5 Chargers 4 3 8 8 Seahawks 8 5 7 10 Patriots 9 8 3 11 Rams 7 7 11 11 Bills 6 9 3 12 Bengals 10 14 6 13 Falcons 12 11 10 14 Jets 11 8 8 16 Giants 13 14 10 17 Bears 13 12 9 19 Vikings 14 13 7 22 Steelers 8 17 10 23 Broncos 10 11 4 24 Panthers 15 16 10 25 Raiders 9 10 11 26 Ravens 7 10 10 27 Jaguars 11 9 9 29 Lions 12 15 8 30 Texans 14 18 11 31