NFL - Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Odds - Sunday January 28 2024

The Kansas City Chiefs (13-6 SU, 11-7-1 ATS) are 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games against the Baltimore Ravens (14-4 SU, 12-6 ATS). The Chiefs hope to continue that trend with a win over the Ravens in the AFC Championship Game this Sunday in Baltimore.

Kansas City is 9-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 road games. The Ravens are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against AFC West opponents including 36-35 upset win over the Chiefs when these two teams last met in 2021. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five games between the Chiefs and Ravens.

Latest Betting Notes: Chiefs

The Chiefs took care of business on the road in a 27-24 upset win against the Buffalo Bills as 2.5-point underdogs on Sunday night. Patrick Mahomes went 17-for-23 with 215 passing yards and two touchdown passes. Travis Kelce caught both of those scoring passes and finished the game with five catches for 75 receiving yards. Isiah Pacheco added 97 rushing yards and a touchdown on 15 carries.

Kansas City is now 4-0 SU and ATS over its last four games after going 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in its previous four games. The Chiefs are 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 postseason games.

Latest Betting Notes: Ravens

Baltimore shook off a slow start to outscore the Houston Texans 24-0 in the second half, en route to a 34-10 blowout win on Saturday as 10-point home favorites. Lamar Jackson went 16-for-22 with 152 passing yards and two passing touchdowns while also leading the way on the ground with 100 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns on 11 carries.

The Ravens are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven games that Lamar Jackson has started, winning those games by an average margin of victory of 17.3 points per game. Star tight end Mark Andrews is listed as questionable to return this Sunday from an ankle injury that has kept him out of action since November 11.

The Keys to Victory: Chiefs

After struggling with inconsistency on offense throughout the regular season, the Chiefs have finally been putting things together. They are averaging 26.5 points per game this postseason and have scored at least 25 points in four of the last five games that Patrick Mahomes has started.

Producing on offense will be important again this weekend against a stingy Baltimore defense. But, the key to a road upset will be how well the Chiefs can contain the run. Kansas City ranked second best in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense during the regular season, but the 113.2 rushing yards the team allowed per game ranked 18th in the NFL. The run defense will need to step up to give the Chiefs a shot in this one.

The Keys to Victory: Ravens

The Ravens are red-hot on both offense and defense. They’ve gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games not including their regular season finale with starters resting. Over that seven-game stretch, the offense has averaged 33.9 points per game and the defense has allowed just 16.6 points per game.

Baltimore’s all-around dominance means that the Ravens can win in a defensive battle or a shootout depending on what the game script dictates. Patrick Mahomes is a generational talent that isn’t likely to go down in the AFC Championship Game without a fight, so this game may wind up coming down to Lamar Jackson’s ability to out-duel him at home.