Phillies vs. Mets odds, line, prediction: 2022 MLB picks, Sunday, May 1 best bets from proven model

The New York Mets (15-7) host the Philadelphia Phillies (11-11) as they wrap up their three-game series on Sunday Night Baseball. On Friday, the Mets threw a combined no-hitter and beat the Phillies 3-0. Philadelphia bounced back yesterday and topped New York 4-1. Both teams will come out aggressively and look to pick up a victory to win the series.

First pitch is set for 7:08 p.m. ET from Queens, N.Y. New York is the -180 money line favorite (risk $180 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Mets odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Philadelphia is a +160 underdog. The over-under for total runs scored is seven. Before making any Mets vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a sizzling start to the 2022 season. It's on a 25-11 roll on top-rated MLB picks through three weeks, returning almost $1,100 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Mets, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Mets vs. Phillies:

• Phillies vs. Mets money line: New York -180, Philadelphia +160
• Phillies vs. Mets run-line: New York -1.5 (+120)
• Phillies vs. Mets over-under: 7 runs
• PHI: The Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 overall
• NYM: The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss

Why you should back the Mets

Francisco Lindor is extremely athletic at the shortstop position. A two-time Gold Glove winner, he is rangy and can throw darts across the diamond with velocity and accuracy. Lindor is a good hitter who can generate power in his swing. The four-time All-Star's batting average is .282 with four home runs, 14 RBIs, and a team-best 24 hits.

Right-hander Max Scherzer is on the hill for New York and he can be overpowering and nasty at times. The eight-time All-Star has an array of pitches that can lead to a high volume of strikeouts as Scherzer is 3-0 with 33 strikeouts and an ERA of 1.80. In his last start, the three-time CY Young Award winner threw seven scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts and just two hits allowed.

Why you should back the Phillies

Left fielder Nick Castellanos is a natural hitter in the box with contact and power to all parts of the field. Castellanos also has a good arm from the outfield and can easily deliver a strike. The 2021 All-Star is leading the team in batting average (.300), on-base percentage (.374), and hits (24) with three home runs and 12 RBIs. On April 27, he went 2-for-3 with a run scored and one RBI. 

Right fielder Bryce Harper is athletic with plenty of power in his swing. Harper plays solid defense in the outfield with a rocket of an arm. The six-time All-Star has a batting average of .253 with three homers and a team-high 14 runs batted in. On April 26, Harper went 2-for-4 with a double and a run scored. 

How to make Phillies vs. Mets picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the run total, projecting 9.3 combined runs, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Phillies vs. Mets? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Mets vs. Phillies you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.